Betting history says Trump will beat Joe Biden

We often hear in the news these days that Joe Biden is the heavy favorite to win the election of 2020. Leading in nearly every poll, even the ones posted on what are considered to be “Conservative” news channels like FOX News. Well there is one group of people that have accurately predicted several major events that are now suggesting that President Trump will win the 2020 election.

They guessed that Kamala Harris would become Biden’s VP, check. They guessed that Boris Johnson would become the new PM of Great Britain, check. And they accurately predicted Trump’s shock 2016 victory, yuge check. No I am not talking about some sophisticated Ivy League think tank or any of those people on the TV that claim to be political pundits, I am talking about the people engaged in betting money on political events.

Allow me to explain. There was a very interesting article posted to oddschecker.com that highlighted how gamblers have accurately predicted these major events even when the actual betting odds were saying the opposite was more likely to happen.

You see, Trump was NOT the official favorite to win the 2016 election, the odds said Hillary would win. Yet despite that fact, about 61% of the bettors put their money on Trump to win. They were right. When it came to Brexit, 73% of bettors successfully predicted that Britain would leave the EU. They were right. Then the majority of bettors put their money on Boris Johnson becoming Prime Minister of Great Britain, and yet again, they were right.

Now in 2020, 59% of political bettors are saying that President Trump will win the 2020 election, even though at the moment the official odds are predicting a Biden win.

They conclude that if the recent betting trends continue, we will see another Trump win in 2020. I myself am far more inclined to listen to the people who are willing to put actual money down on their belief, as opposed to the people on TV who get paid to spout their beliefs.

Therefore if the recent trend of political betting events were to continue, we’d expect Donald Trump to win the 2020 US Election despite the odds suggesting otherwise.” -oddschecker.com

Of course some of this can be attributed to the fact that people like to bet on an underdog. As anyone who has ever placed a bet with a bookie knows, you will win much more if you bet on the underdog as opposed to the favorite, but I still think that most of these people actually believe President Trump will win because he is genuinely a good leader. Obviously, I agree with them.

So if all goes well, we could easily be looking at 4 more beautiful years of Trump as our President!

Southern California Parents Sue Newsom Over Restrictions On In-Person Schooling

“I personally think that any online instruction for elementary school-aged kids will have zero academic value, zero value in socialization,” said Erica Sephton, a concerned parent in California

Parents across Southern California are suing Governor Gavin Newsom over restrictions on in-person schooling, alleging that those restrictions have deprived children across the state of the opportunity for meaningful education.

Lawyers argue that while wealthy parents may be able to hire a really good tutor to teach their children while they are working, the lower income parents are not so fortunate. Many parents are being forced to choose between going back to work to provide for their children, or staying home to ensure their child is actually getting a proper education.

Newsom has totally overplayed his hand with all of these insane virus restrictions and people are getting totally fed up with him. He has failed the state in almost every single way. He has put the livelihoods of millions of parents in jeopardy with his virus restrictions and also putting all of their children at greater risk of receiving a poor education. The isolation being unfairly imposed onto children is not good for their mental health and it is further degrading their social skills as well.

Restrictions on in-person schooling would only ever make sense if the virus was actually seriously affecting kids and young adults, but it just isn’t at the moment. In fact, it is clear by a number of measures and studies that children are the least affected by this virus. Of course any kids with a history of respiratory issues, cerebral palsy, diabetes, leukemia survivors, or any impaired immune system should take extra precautions, but the overwhelming majority of kids can safely go back to school already.

I am glad that some parents can see that all of these restrictions are very bad for the children. As much as Nancy Pelosi might pretend she is working for the best interest of the kids, she and her nephew Gruesom Newsom are permanently damaging the mental fabric of an entire generation of children. We need to start working to end these lockdowns because as of right now there is no end in sight.

We need to support these parents in their fight against the out of control Newsom Administration and I truly hope that more parents begin to join the fight to bring some sanity back to California. The Democrats insane overreaction to the virus has done so much damage to our economy, but the damage they are doing to our children is just as bad…if not worse.

A California county approves plan to pay people $1,250 if diagnosed with virus

CALIFORNIA – Alameda County has approved a pilot program that seeks to pay residents who test positive for coronavirus a stipend of $1,250 to stay home. Alameda County’s Board of Supervisors set aside $10 million for the program, allowing officials to pay up to 7,500 residents, according to the report.

That is a considerable amount of money to dole out since we are experiencing severe budget shortfalls caused by the economic fallout due to the state’s bungled and heavy handed response to the virus.

County officials said the decision came after many residents were concerned how they would pay for food, rent or bills if they tested positive and could not work.

There are a few restrictions on receiving the cash payment. It will only go to those not already receiving unemployment payments or sick pay from work. So I am not sure who this program might actually affect.

Many employers are already offering sick pay for anyone who tests positive for the virus or even just came into contact with anyone who had it. You can also get paid-time off if you have to take care of someone who has the virus.

So that is why I am kind of scratching my head at this plan. I don’t know of any employers that are not paying some kind of sick pay and many people who are working part-time are already on unemployment. This just kind of feels like if they are financially incentivizing for people to catch the virus.

I want people who are out of work to get help, but this program just sounds kind of sketchy when we are already pumping a lot of money to extend sick pay and unemployment payments.

California State Senator introduces bill to end Newsom’s state of emergency

California State Senator Melissa Melendez introduced the bill, SCR 93 which would effectively end the state of emergency and take away the Governor’s emergency powers to close businesses and schools.

 

Melendez said democrats have refused to allow it to be heard in committee. The state senator said she made a motion on the floor on Monday to have it brought to the senate floor for a vote, which was denied.

Melendez said she will make the motion every day they’re in session until they vote on the bill. 

The text of the bill is here:  http://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billTextClient.xhtml?bill_id=201920200SCR93

Of course in the rigged California state legislature a bill like this is next to impossible to pass. Mostly because the guy in charge is of the same political party that currently dominates our legislature.

Where any normal legislature would be furious that their governor is usurping their responsibility, these people have figured out they can work directly with Newsom to bypass all political opposition much faster and easier. It also helps that they are still getting paid their full salary while doing much less work to still achieve the primary goals of their agenda. We must end the State of Emergency in California to take away the unilateral power of Gavin Newsom.

Let us pray for State Senator Melendez in her valiant efforts to end Newsom’s reign of terror. Albiet against great odds, and at a very small chance of success, the effort is still very very much appreciated. Thank you State Senator Melendez.